基于高频超声与萤火虫成像技术的无症状高尿酸血症患者早期肾脏损伤风险列线图模型建立
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东莞市中医院

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R445.1;R692 ??????

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东莞市科技计划项目(编号: 202050715002519)


Establishment of a Nomogram Model for Early Renal Injury Risk in Patients with Asymptomatic Hyperuricemia Based on High-Frequency Ultrasound and Firefly Imaging Technology
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨高频超声联合萤火虫成像技术在评估无症状高尿酸血症(AHU)患者早期肾脏损伤中的价值,并构建个体化风险预测列线图模型。方法 选取2020年1月-2020年12月医院收治的127例AHU患者作为研究对象,依据是否发生早期肾脏损伤分为损伤组(n=29)与非损伤组(n=98),收集患者一般资料、实验室指标、高频超声及萤火虫成像参数,采用单因素、多因素Logistic回归分析筛选独立危险因素,并建立列线图预测模型;采用Bootstrap法进行内部验证,通过ROC曲线及校准曲线评估模型的区分度与一致性。结果 经单因素分析结果显示,高尿酸血症病程、合并高血压、每日饮水量及血清超敏C反应蛋白(hs-CRP)、白细胞介素-6(IL-6)水平和血尿酸(SUA)、血胱抑素C(Cys-C)、尿微量白蛋白/肌酐比值(UACR)、尿α1-微球蛋白(U-α1-MG)、尿N-乙酰-β-D-葡萄糖苷酶(U-NAG)、肾脏皮质厚度、肾脏皮质回声增强、皮髓质分界模糊、萤火虫成像微钙化数量、肾叶间动脉阻力指数、肾窦脂肪厚度是影响AHU患者早期肾脏损伤的相关因素(均P<0.05);Logistic回归分析显示,SUA水平高、高尿酸血症病程长、萤火虫成像微钙化数量≥3个、肾叶间动脉阻力指数大、肾脏皮质回声增强是AHU患者早期肾脏损伤的危险因素(均P<0.05);基于此构建的列线图模型,其预测AHU患者早期肾脏损伤的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.856。校准曲线与Hosmer-Lemeshow检验(P>0.05)证实模型具有优秀的校准度。DCA分析显示该模型在15%至70%的阈值概率范围内具有明确的临床净获益。结论 高频超声联合萤火虫成像技术可敏感地检测AHU患者肾脏早期的微结构及微循环异常。

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore the value of high-frequency ultrasound combined with Firefly imaging technology in assessing early renal injury in patients with asymptomatic hyperuricemia (AHU) and to construct an individualized risk prediction nomogram model. Methods A total of 127 AHU patients admitted to the hospital from January 2020 to December 2020 were selected as the study subjects. They were divided into an injury group (n=29) and a non-injury group (n=98) based on the occurrence of early renal injury. General data, laboratory indicators, high-frequency ultrasound, and Firefly imaging parameters were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to screen for independent risk factors, and a nomogram prediction model was established. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. The model''s discrimination and calibration were evaluated via the ROC curve and calibration curve. Results Univariate analysis showed that the duration of hyperuricemia, comorbid hypertension, daily water intake, levels of serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), serum uric acid (SUA), serum cystatin C (Cys-C), urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR), urinary α1-microglobulin (U-α1-MG), urinary N-acetyl-β-D-glucosaminidase (U-NAG), renal cortical thickness, enhanced renal cortical echogenicity, blurred corticomedullary differentiation, number of microcalcifications on Firefly imaging, interlobar renal artery resistance index, and renal sinus fat thickness were factors associated with early renal injury in AHU patients (all P < 0.05). Logistic regression analysis identified high SUA level, long duration of hyperuricemia, Firefly imaging microcalcifications ≥3, high interlobar renal artery resistance index, and enhanced renal cortical echogenicity as risk factors for early renal injury in AHU patients (all P < 0.05). The nomogram model constructed based on these factors had an AUC of 0.856 for predicting early renal injury in AHU patients. The calibration curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (P > 0.05) confirmed excellent calibration of the model. DCA showed that the model had a clear clinical net benefit within a threshold probability range of 15% to 70%. Conclusion High-frequency ultrasound combined with Firefly imaging technology can sensitively detect early microstructural and microcirculatory abnormalities in the kidneys of AHU patients.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-05-29
  • 最后修改日期:2026-06-26
  • 录用日期:2026-09-07
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