超声弹性成像检查联合miR-130b-3p、miR-146a表达预测乳腺癌患者新辅助化疗后肾损伤的风险列线图模型的建立与验证
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河北省医学科学研究课题(20201525);


Establishment and validation of a risk nomogram model for predicting re-nal injury after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in mammary cancer patients by ultrasound elastographycombined with mir-130b-3p and miR-146a ex-pression
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    摘要:

    目的:构建风险列线图模型,并验证超声弹性成像检查联合微小核糖核酸RNA-130b-3p(miR-130b-3p)、微小核糖核酸RNA-146a(miR-146a)表达对乳腺癌(MC)患者新辅助化疗后肾损伤预测价值。方法:行新辅助化疗的MC患者130例,定期血常规、影像学复查,依据改善全球肾脏病预后组织(KDIGO)的诊断和分期标准,统计规范化系统干预28 d肾损伤情况,分为肾损伤组(n=53)和MC组(n=77)。收集所有患者临床资料,应用单因素、多因素Logistic回归分析MC患者新辅助化疗后肾损伤的危险因素,据此建立列线图风险预测模型,并进行验证。结果:经单因素、多因素Logistic回归分析显示,皮质YM值、髓质YM值及Emean值大和miR-146a(高)、mir-130b-3p(高)、eGFR(低)水平、合并基础疾病是影响MC患者新辅助化疗后肾损伤的危险因素(P<0.05);由列线图可知,在此模型中皮质YM值、髓质YM值、Emean值是MC新辅助化疗后发生肾损伤的最强因子,其次是miR-146a、miR-130b-3p高表达。列线图ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.842,敏感度83.72%,特异度87.00%,C-index为0.816。H-L拟合优度检验显示,预测值与实际观测值之间差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论:超声弹性成像参数中皮质YM值、髓质YM值和Emean值大,及血清miRNA-130b-3p、miR-146a高表达,均是影响MC患者新辅助化疗后肾损伤的危险因素。据上述指标建立列线图模型,对MC患者新辅助化疗后肾损伤的发生风险具有较高预测效能。

    Abstract:

    Objective:To develop a risk nomogram model and validate the predictive value of ultrasound elastography combined with miRNA-130b-3p(miRNA-130b-3p)and miR-146a expression in assessing renal injury among mammary cancer(MC)patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy.Methods:A total of 130 patients with mammary cancer(MC)who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy were selected,and regular blood routine and imaging reviews were conducted.According to the diagnostic and staging cri-teria of Kidney Disease:Improving Global Outcomes(KDIGO),renal injury was statistically analyzed and divided into a renal injury group(n=53)and an MC group(n=77).Clinical data from all patients were collected.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regres-sion analyses were performed to analyze the risk factors for renal injury in MC patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy,and a nomogram risk prediction model was established and validated.Results:Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed that high-er cortical YM value,medullary YM value,and Emean value,as well as elevated miR-146a(high),mir-130b-3p(high),decreased eG-FR(low),and the presence of combined underlying diseases were risk factors for renal injury in MC patients after neoadjuvant chemo-therapy(P<0.05).The nomogram demonstrated that cortical YM value,medullary YM value,and Emean value were the most influen-tial factors for renal injury after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in MC patients,followed by increased expression of miR-146a and mir-130b-3p.The area under the ROC curve of the nomogram was0.842,with a sensitivity of 83.72%,specificity of 87.0%,and a C-index of 0.816.The H-L goodness-of-fit test results indicated no significant difference between predicted values and actual observed values(P>0.05).Conclusion:The high YM value of the cortex,as well as the YM and Emean values of the medulla in ultrasound elastogra-phy parameters,along with the elevated expression levels of serum miRNA-130b-3p and miR-146a,serve as significant risk factors for renal injury in patients with mesangial proliferative glomerulonephritis after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.The established nomogram model incorporating these indicators effectively predicts the likelihood of renal injury in such patients.

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公春丽;周宇微;王泱;刘景萍;.超声弹性成像检查联合miR-130b-3p、miR-146a表达预测乳腺癌患者新辅助化疗后肾损伤的风险列线图模型的建立与验证[J].川北医学院学报,2025,40(5):605-610.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-09
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