全肺平均碘浓度与灌注缺损体积百分比对急性肺栓塞危险分层的预测价值
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蚌埠医学院自然科学重点项目(2020byzd135);


The predictive value of mean whole-lung iodine perfusion and perfusion defect volume ratio in predicting risk stratification of acute pulmonary embolism
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    摘要:

    目的:探讨能谱CT全肺平均碘浓度(MeanIP)及灌注缺损体积百分比(PDVR)对急性肺栓塞(APE)危险分层的预测价值。方法:选取80例经能谱CT扫描确诊为APE的患者为研究对象,根据临床及影像资料分为高危组(n=14)、中高危组(n=30)和中低危组(n=36)。比较三组患者临床及能谱CT资料,构建预测中高危及以上组的能谱参数Logistic模型,采用ROC曲线下面积(AUC)评估模型效能,通过DeLong检验比较模型间的差异。结果:三组患者能谱参数的MeanIP、PDVR比较,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);MeanIP、PDVR及MeanIP+PDVR预测模型的AUC分别为0.822、0.810和0.887;DeLong检验显示,MeanIP+PDVR预测模型与MeanIP或PDVR预测模型比较,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05),其中MeanIP+PDVR联合模型的预测效能最佳。结论:MeanIP结合PDVR可有效预测APE的危险分层,可为临床决策提供重要的影像学依据。

    Abstract:

    Objective:To investigate the predictive value of mean whole-lung iodine perfusion(MeanIP)and perfusion de-fect volume ratio(PDVR)as derived from spectral CT in the risk stratification of acute pulmonary embolism(APE).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 80 patients diagnosed with APE via spectral CT scans.Patients were classified based on clinical and imaging data into high-risk(n=14),intermediate-high risk(n=30),and intermediate-low risk(n=36)groups.Clinical and spectral CT data were compared across these groups,and a Logistic model was developed using perfusion parame-ters to predict risk stratification of intermediate-high or high-risk groups.The model's efficacy was evaluated using the area un-der the ROC curve(AUC),and differences between models were assessed with the DeLong test.Results:Statistically significant differences were observed in MeanIP and PDVR of spectral parameters among the three groups(P<0.05).The AUCs for the MeanIP,PDVR,and MeanIP+PDVR prediction models were 0.822,0.810,and 0.887,respectively.The DeLong test revealed significant differences between the combined MeanIP+PDVR model and the models using only MeanIP or PDVR,indicating the superior predictive performance of the combined model(P<0.05).Conclusion:MeanIP combined with PDVR can effectively predict the risk stratification of APE,providing critical imaging evidence for clinical decision-making.

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周牧野;朱林;梁啸寒;郭飞;.全肺平均碘浓度与灌注缺损体积百分比对急性肺栓塞危险分层的预测价值[J].川北医学院学报,2025,40(9):1187-1190.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-14
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